I think you have to go with the short-term trend, and assume that these lows will be tested.

Financial markets, in fact, tend to regard a companion survey of more than 300,000 business payrolls as a better gauge of short-term economic trends.

Similarly, some scientists used a short-term trend of temperature declines during the 1930s to theorize that the world would be in an ice age by 1978.

But they also say that crime statistics cannot accurately measure short-term trends.

These seasonal variations are responsible for the short-term trends that you have observed in the previous tasks.

Amid that shift, short-term trends are harder to determine.

Thus even if the short-term economic trends do not deliver the anticipated profits, the long-term trends are favorable.

According to the May 2007 Vogue, sustainable fashion appears not to be a short-term trend but one which could last multiple seasons.

Zurich: Uncertainty over the market's short-term trend combined with interest rate fears to push the all-share index down 15.5 points to 1,161.2.

Sometimes people focus too much on short-term trends and try to extrapolate when the evidence to the contrary is very strong.