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Modern Russian historians put forward an estimative number of 90,000 for the same period.
For estimative analysis, this requires paying serious attention to seemingly less likely outcomes.
Their use in estimative statements is almost certain to cause confusion; they should be avoided at all costs.
Estimative statements can be improved in four ways; either by:
In other words, the map was estimative, indicating "works begun, and those intended this morning."
The official estimative points to 49 dead, from which only 14 were identified, with still 64 passengers officially missing.
Some intelligence and policy failures appear to be related to an imprecise use of estimative words.
This encourages testing of the key subordinate judgments that hold the estimative conclusion together.
To bridge the gap between them and decision makers, Kent developed a paradigm relating estimative terms to odds.
He was calculating and mercenary: she was estimative and generous.
Analytic confidence is a rating employed by intelligence analysts to convey doubt to decision makers about a statement of estimative probability.
Estimative Intelligence.
An analytic confidence rating pairs with a statement using a word of estimative probability to form a complete analytic statement.
Estimative intelligence helps policymakers to think strategically about long-term threats by discussing the implications of a range of possible outcomes and alternative scenarios.
NIEs are considered to be "estimative" products, in that they present what intelligence analysts estimate may be the course of future events.
It has 249.655 inhabitants (estimative IBGE 2006) and an area of 5,687 km2.
There is an estimative virtue situated in the dorsal part of the median ventricle of the encephalus (What is that?
However-an estimative statement that uses "maybe" , "suggest" , or other weasel words is vague and symptomatic of the problem at hand-not its solution.
"Words of Estimative Probability" (CIA, 1964)
The TOR defines the key estimative questions, determines drafting responsibilities, and sets the drafting and publication schedule.
Burl saw immediately that the dogs did not act with the blind ferocity of insects, but with an interested, estimative intelligence strikingly like that of men.
Winston Churchill had his own intelligence advisor, Sir Desmond Morton, who might bypass the WWII estimative process.
In terms of intended use by the customer, both business and government producers may generate intelligence to be applied in the current, estimative, operational, research, science and technology, or warning context.
Mercyhurst College students use the Peterson Table of Analytic Confidence Assessment to determine the level of analytic confidence in their estimative statements.
In Words of Estimative Probability Kent distinguished between 'poets' (those preferring wordy probabilistic statements) from 'mathematicians' (those preferring quantitative odds).