But a Western economist said previous levels would not be reached until 1993 or 1994.

But a little humility, at least on the part of Western economists, is in order.

It is also more than the industry's entire wage bill, according to Western economists.

A number of Western economists and other experts advised them.

"He's done everything they say you are supposed to do," a Western economist said.

Western economists looking at the latest plan are not impressed.

"They may have used their last bullet," one Western economist said.

Western economists expect a drop of 20 to 25 percent for the year as a whole.

But many Western economists believe that both sides have it wrong.

The national treasury, which has been spending about 60 percent of its money on the war effort, is empty, Western economists said.