"Turnout is obviously the big variable here," said David Rebovich, managing director of the Rider Institute for New Jersey Politics.

"Unfortunately, this résumé with negative references on it continues to grow," said David Rebovich, managing director of the Rider Institute for New Jersey Politics.

"The independents are especially cynical on the corruption issue," said David Rebovich, managing director of the Rider Institute for New Jersey Politics.

"Torricelli is simply being Bob Torricelli," said David Rebovich, director of the Rider Institute for New Jersey Politics.

David Rebovich, managing director of the Rider Institute for New Jersey Politics, called that omission "a possible kiss of death for Steve Brozak."

"It's natural that the national party would look to a blue state like New Jersey for some help," said David Rebovich, director of the Rider Institute of New Jersey Politics.

"Not like this," said David P. Rebovich, managing director of the Rider Institute for New Jersey Politics.

"A lot of Democratic leaders were concerned about why Menendez was getting so involved in minutiae," said David Rebovich, managing director of the Rider Institute for New Jersey Politics.

Even if the Legislature passes Mr. McGreevey's tax plan, Mr. Rebovich of the Rider Institute said, "it's not clear he'll get the bounce he needs."

To be honest," said David Rebovich, managing director of the Rider Institute for New Jersey Politics, "I'm hearing Republicans starting to say, 'Get a ribbon and wrap this baby up.