Democracy Corps, Foxnews/Opinion Dynamic, CNN/Opinion Research, and Ipsos/McClatchy all predicted an accurate seven point spread.

Mr. Bush announced a new effort to help Eastern Europe today, saying he would try to export his "thousand points of light" through a new Citizens Democracy Corps to strengthen the emerging democracies.

Mr. Carville, Mr. Greenberg and Mr. Shrum are also partners in Democracy Corps, a nonprofit group that uses polls to influence Democratic Party thinking.

In 1999, Mr. Carville, Mr. Shrum and Mr. Greenberg founded a liberal policy group, Democracy Corps, which regularly conducts public polls and offers policy advice to candidates.

Democracy Corps, the Democratic pollsters, say that there is a "crisis of confidence in the Republican direction for the country."

The program called for the creation of a "Democracy Corps" to coordinate the thousands of private organizations and the dozen Government agencies now working separately in Russia.

He did not give many details, but he said he would establish a Democracy Corps and reinvigorate the Peace Corps to help create democratic institutions in the former Communist lands.

In March 2011, Democracy Corps conducted a survey of 1,000 likely 2012 election voters in 50 congressional districts considered political battlegrounds.

Democracy Corps, a liberal advocacy group headed by James Carville, Stanley B. Greenberg and Robert M. Shrum, three of the most experienced Democratic strategists, surveyed voters recently about post-Sept.

"After they accepted the proposition that this was actually happening, they were furious," said Jim Gerstein, the executive director of Democracy Corps.