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Dr. Gray's forecast verification for 2005 (including storm descriptions through Beta)
Articles on forecasting and analysis techniques, forecast verification studies, and case studies useful to forecasters.
Because of the complexity of these models, forecast verification goes a good deal beyond simple measures of statistical association or mean error calculations.
He also has done research on forecasting and forecast verification, especially for severe convective storms, and is an advocate of ingredients-based forecasting.
Forecast verification is a subfield of the climate, atmospheric and ocean sciences dealing with validating, verifying as well as determining the predictive power of prognostic model forecasts.
For the academic year 1968-69 he was at the University of Stockholm as a visiting scientist, and developed the application of ranked probability score that became the basis for forecast verification.
We matched respondents with climatological data and forecast verification measures based on their reported locations to assess how their experiences with weather compare with their attitudes and behaviors regarding weather forecast information.
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